Political Behavior

Spring 2010 (Section 5399) 
Michael D. Martinez
Department of Political Science
University of Florida
Office: 
211 Anderson Hall
Tuesdays  and Thursdays
  9:30 am to 11:00 am; 2:30 - 4:00 pm
martinez@ufl.edu
273-2363
Announcements!
Guidelines for the term paper are now posted here.

Course objectives:  How much do ordinary citizens know about politics, and does it matter if some people don't know very much? Why do some people participate a lot in politics, and other people never even bother to vote? Does political participation really matter, and if so, what could be done to encourage more people to participate? Are elections just "beauty contests" between parties and candidates, or do they really mean something? How similar is Americans' political behavior to that of citizens in other western democracies?

We will discuss these questions throughout the semester, as well as look at how political scientists go about addressing these questions. Students will have the opportunity to read and discuss some original research on these subjects, as well as use some existing social science data to discover relationships on their own. I will also introduce students to the Survey Data Analysis system and use of basic data analysis techniques to learn about political behavior. These techniques will be especially valuable for students who will be writing an empirical Honors Thesis in Political Science or another social science discipline.

Course requirements include
 
homework and in-class assignments
periodic
15%
a mid-term exam  Tuesday, March 2, classtime 25%
a paper analyzing voter choice Tuesday,  April 20
25%
a final exam  Tuesday, April 27, 7:30 am to 9:30 am 35%

Readings

Dalton, Russell J. 2008. Citizen Politics: Public Opinion and Political Parties in Advanced Western Democracies. Fifth Edition. CQ Press.  ISBN 978-0-87289-537-9 .

The companion website for Citizen Politics is found at http://www.cqpress.com/cs/dalton/

Assigned journal articles will be generally available for free through J-STOR.

Course Requirements

There will be two exams. Each exam will have two components. The first will be a series of true-false-justify statements. For each statement, you will be asked whether the statement is true or false, and to provide some justification for your answer. The justification is far more important than the true-false answer itself. The second component will be a long essay. The final exam will be comprehensive, though its clear emphasis will be on the last half of the course. The mid-term exam on March 2 contributes 25% to your final course grade, and the final exam on April 27 contributes 35%.

Periodic assignments will include some simple analyses of data using the SDA system.  No prior knowledge of SDA is assumed, but it will be important to attend class to learn about the basics of using this system.  On some days, it may be useful to bring a wireless-enabled laptop, if you have one, so that you can follow along with examples shown in class. The periodic assignments will also be announced in class. Cumulatively, these assignments will contribute 15% to your course grade.

There are also a paper assignment, due April 20.  The goal of the paper will be to review both literature (books, chapters, or journal articles) about factors that affect either participation (eg., why some people vote on election day and some stay home) or voter choice (eg., why some people voted for John McCain and others voted for Barack Obama).  This paper will also require that you do some simple analyses of data (using the SDA system that I will introduce in class, or another system that provides you with the ability to do simple crosstabulation analysis), and explain whether your data analysis tends to support or tends to undermine the theory and previous findings in your literature review.  A preliminary research question and bibliography will be due March 16. The final paper contributes 25% to your course grade.

Some materials and links to sources will be made available to registered students through E-Learning.  Students will be required to submit the paper assignment using the Turnitin.com links within the assignment folders in E-Learning.  Turnitin.com provides students will an electronic time-stamped receipt, and also checks for plagiarism by comparing your submission to online sources and previous submissions.  Students will also be able to use E-Learning to access grades throughout the semester.

You should view this class as an opportunity for an exchange of ideas by scholars with common interests. Obviously, I will contribute the most to the discussion, but I expect participation from the class, and I expect your individual participation to be especially insightful when we are discussing topics related to your chosen paper topics. I reserve the right to reward outstanding participation by as much as one-half a letter grade (for example, from a "B" to a "B+") at the end of the term.

The grading scale is as follows:
 

A
91.0 - 100.0

A-
89.0 - 90.9
B+ 87.0 - 88.9
B 81.0 - 86.9
B- 79.0 - 80.9
C+77.0 - 78.9C71.0 - 76.9C-69.0 - 70.9
D+67.0 - 68.9D61.0 - 66.9D-59.0 - 60.9

Special Assignments

POS 4934 (Honors Preparation): Honors Preparation students will write a literature review covering some topic in political behavior. The literature review will survey the existing academic literature to tell me the current state of knowledge about that topic, and propose an empirical question for the honors thesis. I will give you some leads on where to look, and will be happy to discuss your progress on the paper throughout the term. I expect it will be between ten and fifteen pages in length. (Students who are interested in the Department's Honors Program should consult with Professor Rosenson.)

General Stuff

Do not telephone me about a grade. No smoking. Please do not receive or transmit electronic messages (calls, text messages, tweet, facebook, email, IM, or other) during class. Doing so during an exam constitutes provision and/or receipt of outside information, which is cheating. If you bring food, bring enough for 50 people.

All written work submitted must comply with the UF Student Honor CodePlagiarism (whether inadvertant or overt) corrupts our ability to exchange ideas freely, and will not be tolerated.

Students requesting classroom accommodation must first register with the Dean of Students Office. The Dean of Students Office will provide documentation to the student who must then provide this documentation to the Instructor when requesting accommodation.

The class listserv will allow me to make announcements to the class by email.  Students who are registered for the class are automatically subscribed.  The listserv address is Spring-5399-L@lists.ufl.edu .

Course Outline

Date
Topic
Readings
Jan 5-14 What is electoral behavior?
- How do we know about electoral behavior and public opinion? 
- Models of political behavior
- Surveys and Experiments
Dalton, Chapter 1

Hillygus, D. Sunshine. 2005. "The Missing Link: Exploring the Relationship Between Higher Education and Political Engagement." Political Behavior 27: 25-47.

Gerber, Alan S., Donald P. Green, and Christopher W. Larimer. 2008. Social pressure and voter turnout: Evidence from a large-scale field experiment. American Political Science Review 102 (1, February):33-48.
Jan 7
No Class!
Southern Political Science Association meetings
Jan 19-21
How Much (or Little) Does Joe Six-Pack Understand about Politics?
- Do citizens have to be super-citizens for the system to work?
Dalton, Chapter 2

Delli Carpini, Michael X. and Scott Keeter. 1991. "Stability and Change in the United States Public's Knowledge of Politics." Public Opinion Quarterly 55 (4, Winter): 583-612.

Althaus, Scott. 1998.  "Information Effects in Collective Preferences."  American Political Science Review 92 (3, September): 545-558.  
Jan 26 - 28
Is it dumb to vote?  Can we make the dummies vote?

Dalton, Chapter 3

McDonald, Michael P. and Samuel L. Popkin. 2001.  "The Myth of the Vanishing Voter."  American Political Science Review 95 (4, December): 963-974.

Gerber, Alan S. and Donald P. Green. 2000. "The Effects of Canvassing, Telephone Calls, and Direct Mail on Voter Turnout: A Field Experiment." American Political Science Review 94 (3, September): 653-663.

Fowler, James H., Laura A. Baker, and Christopher T. Dawes. 2008. "Genetic Variation in Political Participation." American Political Science Review 102: 233-248.
Feb 2 - 4
Is it dumb to riot? 
Dalton, Chapter 4

Anderson, Christopher J. and Silvia M. Mendes. 2006. "Learning to Lose: Election Outcomes, Democratic Experience and Political Protest Potential." British Journal of Political Science 36:91-111.

Javeline, Debra. 2003. "The Role of Blame in Collective Action: Evidence from Russia." American Political Science Review 97:107-121.
Feb 9 - 11
Do ideologues have any values?
Dalton, Chapters 5 and 6

Jacoby, William G. 2006. "Value Choices and American Public Opinion." American Journal of Political Science 50 (3, July): 706-723.

Davis, Darren W. 2000. "Individual Level Examination of Postmaterialism in the U.S.: Political Tolerance, Racial Attitudes, Environmentalism, and Participatory Norms." Political Research Quarterly 53 (3, September): 455-475.
Feb 16 - 18
Am I Just a White Middle Class Catholic? Dalton, Chapters 7 and 8

Abramowitz, Alan I. and Kyle L. Saunders. 2006. "Exploring the Bases of Partisanship in the American Electorate: Social Identity Vs. Ideology." Political Research Quarterly 59 (2, June): 175-187.

Wald, Kenneth D. and Allison Calhoun-Brown. 2007. Religion and Politics in the United States. Lanham, Md.: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers.  Chapter 7.
Feb 23 - 28
How would you know a yellow-dog if you saw one? Dalton, Chapter 9

Rahn, Wendy.  1993.  "The Role of Partisan Stereotypes in Information Processing about Political Candidates."  American Journal of Political Science 37:  472-496.

Bartels, Larry M.  2000.  "Partisanship and Voting Behavior, 1952-1996."  American Journal of Political Science 44 (1, January):  35-50.
Mar 2Midterm Exam
Mar 4Midterm Exam review and Discussion of Research Paper Assignment
Mar 9 - 11Give me a (spring) break!
Mar 16 - 18
Issues and Voter Choice
Dalton, Chapter 10

Knuckey, Jonathan. 2005. "A New Front in the Culture War? Moral Traditionalism and Voting Behavior in US House Elections." American Politics Research 33 (5, September): 645-671.

Hillygus, D. Sunshine and Todd G. Shields. 2005. "Moral Issues and Voter Decision Making in the 2004 Presidential Election." PS-Political Science & Politics 38 (2, April): 201-209 and (3, October):  665.
Mar 23 - 25
It's the economy, stupid!
Kinder, Donald R., Gordon S. Adams, and Paul W. Gronke. 1989. "Economics and Politics in the 1984 American Presidential-Election." American Journal of Political Science 33 (2, May): 491-515.

Godbout, Jean-Francois and Eric Belanger. 2007. "Economic Voting and Political Sophistication in the United States: A Reassessment." Political Research Quarterly 60:541-554.
Mar 30 - Apr 1
"I vote for the (wo)man, not the party" Rosenberg, Shawn, Lisa Bohan, Patrick McCafferty, and Kevin Harris. 1986. "The Image and the Vote: The Effect of Candidate Presentation on Voter Preference." American Journal of Political Science 30: 108-127.

Welch, Susan and John R. Hibbing. 1997. "The Effects of Charges of Corruption on Voting Behavior in Congressional Elections, 1982-1990." Journal of Politics 59 (1, February): 226-239.

King, David C. and Richard E. Matland. 2003. "Sex and the Grand Old Party - an Experimental Investigation of the Effect of Candidate Sex on Support for a Republican Candidate." American Politics Research 31 (6, November): 595-612.
Apr 6 - 8
Schizophrenic voting Franklin, Mark N., and Wolfgang P. Hirczy de Mino.  1998.  "Separated powers, divided government, and turnout in US presidential  elections."  American Journal of Political Science 42 (1, January):  316-326.

Saunders, Kyle L., Alan I. Abramowitz, and Jonathan Williamson. 2005. "A New Kind of Balancing Act: Electoral Certainty and Ticket-Splitting in the 1996 and 2000 Elections." Political Research Quarterly 58 (1, March): 69-78.

Anderson, Christopher J., and Christine A. Guillory.  1997.  "Political Institutions and Satisfaction with Democracy: A Cross-National Analysis of Consensus and Majoritarian Systems."  American Political Science Review 91 (1, March):  66-81.
Apr 13 - 15
Is anyone out there listening?
Dalton, Chapter 11

Jacoby, William G. and Saundra K. Schneider. 2001. "Variability in State Policy Priorities: An Empirical Analysis." Journal of Politics 63 (2, May): 544-568.

Bartels, Larry M. 1991. "Constituency Opinion and Congressional Policy Making: The Reagan Defense Buildup." American Political Science Review 85 (2, June): 457-474.
Apr 20
The Cynical Voter
Dalton, Chapter 12

Mutz, Diana C. and Byron Reeves. 2005. "The New Videomalaise: Effects of Televised Incivility on Political Trust." American Political Science Review 99 (1, February): 1-15.

Cook, Timothy E. and Paul Gronke. 2005. "The Skeptical American: Revisiting the Meanings of Trust in Government and Confidence in Institutions." Journal of Politics 67 (3, August): 784-803.
Apr 20
Research Paper Due
In this paper, you will review the empirical literature (at least four research articles or books) on factors that influence either voter participation or voter choice.  You might be interested in explanations about why some people vote, make financial contributions to candidates, or protest, while others don't.  You might also be interested in why some voters voted Democratic, some voted Republican, and (occasionally) some others voted for a third-party.  Your paper may, but need not, focus on the United States, but it must include your own data analysis, and you should say whether your analysis tends to support or disconfirm the arguments you reviewed in the literature.
April 27
7:30 - 9:30 am
Final Exam