The key ingredients of monetary systems: Confidence and liquidity
Demands of an International Monetary System
•A relatively stable exchange rate system
•Coordinated macroeconomic policies
•A lender of last resort in crises
•A market for distressed goods
•Countercyclical long-term lending
•Does this require a leader?
The Mundell-Fleming Theorem
•You can have any two of these at the same time
- Macroeconomic policy flexibility
- Fixed exchange rates
- Free movement of capital
•But you can’t have all three
Monetary Theory and Monetary History
•The Gold Standard
- Fixed rates and free movement
of capital
- British leadership
•Bretton Woods
- Fixed rates and macroeconomic
flexibility
- American leadership
•Floating exchange rates
- Trading macroeconomic flexibility
for capital flows
Monetary Theory and the Contemporary System
•Mundell-Fleming: Different countries are trying
dfferent experiments
•The US dollar is still the world’s reserve currency
•Is the US still the world’s economic leader?
Exchange-Rate Politics
•What should the value of a currency be?
•Floating currencies and market valuation
•The international currency market
- Over a trillion dollars a day
•BOP, inflation, expectations, confidence
•PPP and the Big Mac index
International Currencies
•Examples:
- The Euro
- The CFA Franc
- The US dollar?
•Costs and benefits:
- Credibility
- Gain in exchange efficiency
- Loss in macroeconomic flexibility
International Financial Institutions (IFIs)
•Common features:
- Loans, not grants, and they
expect to be paid back
- Profit-generating
- Corporate voting structures
•Common criticisms:
- Creating indebtedness
- Skewing development
- Exporting the US model of development
The IMF
•Designed to maintain a fixed exchange rate system
•After Bretton Woods, focused on BOP stabilization
•Surveillance, financial assistance, technical assistance
- Lending money, doing research,
setting standard
•Conditionality
The World Bank
•Lends for development projects
•5 components:
- International Bank for Reconstruction
and Development (IBRD)
- International Development Association
(IDA)
- International Finance Corporation
(IFC)
- Multilateral Investment Guarantee
Agency (MIGA)
- International Centre for Settlement
of Investment Disputes (ICSID)